Friday October 30, 2020 at 6:04 pm

Election Day is officially on the first Tuesday in November in America, but many citizens are started early voting due to the pandemic and chaos involving the US Postal service. Oddsmakers universally have Joe Biden as the consensus favorite to win the 2020 US Presidential election, but Donald Trump was an underdog in 2016 and surprised everyone with a victory. Can the incumbent do it again, or have the citizens finally had enough of the clown show in DC?

2020electodds

It's been an ugly four years with rampant unemployment, the pandemic, and the country on the brink of civil war. It would have been a close race without the pandemic, but once the pandemic hit, most so-called experts and political prognosticators predicted doom for Donald Trump in his re-election bid against former Vice President Joe Biden. President Trump is hoping to avoid the curse of a single term presidency due to an incumbent loss that includes him with George W. Bush and Jimmy Carter, however as Election Day approaches, his odds continue to shrink as his rhetoric gets crazier and crazier at rallies and on Twitter.

Currently on PredictIt, Joe Biden is trading at 67 cents, while Donald Trump is 39 cents.

Using Real Clear Politics and their RCP Betting Average index, Biden is 63.4 vs Trump's 36.

According to PaddyPower, Joe Biden is 2/5 odds to win the election and Trump is 15/8 odds to win his reelection bid. In American money line terms, that is -250 or you have to lay $250 to win $100. In Euro decimal terms, Biden is 1.4. He has an implied probability of 71.4% to win.

Trump at 15/8 odds is +188 on the money line or 2.88 in decimal odds conversion. He has an implied probability of 34.8% to win.

In 2016, Donald Trump trailed Hillary Clinton in the polls but pulled off the upset and surprise when he won several swing states including Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Trump secured 306 electoral votes, or 36 more than needed to secure office. Clinton secured only 202 electoral votes by winning a handful of big states such as California, New York, and Illinois.

In 2020, things have gotten so bad for Trump that both Texas and Florida could fall. Texas seems like a long shot, but there's 38 electoral votes at stake. Florida's 29 electoral votes is a lynchpin for Trump. If he loses Florida, he'll end up losing Pennsylvania and other key swing states in the Midwest like Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Iowa. Heck, even Nebraska is in play.

The key swing states to pay attention to in 2020 will be Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes), Ohio (18), Michigan (16), and Wisconsin (10). It's sorta crazy that GOP holdouts like Arizona (11), Georgia (16), Florida (29), Texas (38), Iowa (6), and Nebraska (5) are in play.

2020 US Presidential Election Odds

  • Joe Biden (D) 2/5 or 1.4
  • Donald Trump (R) 15/8 or 2.88

Mike Matusow has a large wager and prop bet on Trump and he's getting odds.

There's also a scenario in which Democrats sweep all the houses and score a trifecta with Joe Biden winning the President and both the House of Representatives and Senate having a blue majority. If the Dems can flip the Senate, there will be a huge balance of power and they could regain control of the Supreme Court. For now, it's a close race in the Senate with 35 seats up for grabs and 7 of which could determine the fate of America.

The key senate races are in Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, Iowa, Montana, and a special election in Georgia.

Key an eye on FiveThirtyEight and 270 to Win.

Latest news
Monday November 30, 2020 at 4:11 am
High Stakes Feud: Polk banked $332K session, Negreanu down $596K

Doug Polk continued his winning streak with two more positive sessions in the High Stakes Feud against Daniel Negreanu. In Round 11, which lasted 416 hands of $200/$400 NL, Polk banked $120K. During Round 12 on Saturday, Polk had his biggest score to date with a $332K score over 684 hands. After 5,751 total hands, Daniel Negreanu is in the hole $596,197 after 12 sessions.

Wednesday November 25, 2020 at 4:01 am
High Stakes Feud: Polk wins Round 10, Negreanu Down $144K

After ten sessions, Doug Polk and Daniel Negreanu completed 4,651 hands of their High Stakes Feud at $200/$400 NL. Polk won Round 10, arguably the most exciting session to date, and banked $117,624. Polk extended his lead, while Negreanu is now down $144K with more than 80% of their high-stakes grudge match remaining. They have approximately 45 more sessions remaining at the current rate.

Monday November 23, 2020 at 6:00 pm
Tom Dwan short deck video staying ahead of the curve

Poker King produced a new video featuring one of their ambassadors, Tom Dwan. Dwan sat down with pro Nick Shulman to discuss how he was able to stay ahead of the curve in the high stakes realm with PLO and Short Deck poker. Many pros regard Dwan as one of the Top 5 Short Deck players in the world, but he's been playing and studying the games much longer during his time playing nose bleed stakes in Macau and Asia.

Thursday November 19, 2020 at 10:10 pm
Sweden's WhatIfGod wins EPT Online Main Event for $1 million

The 2020 European Poker Tour Online series came to a close when WhatIfGod from Sweden outlasted a field of 1,034 to win the $5,200 buy-in Main Event. WhatIfGod defeated Timothy Adams heads-up for the Main Event title and $1,019,081. Bert 'girafganger7' Stevens took down two events at the EPT Online series. Other notables who won events at the EPT Online series included Tatiana 'Mysters_Y' Barausova and Mikita Badziakouski.

Wednesday November 18, 2020 at 5:09 pm
MicroMillions returns to PokerStars with 117 events in 11 days

PokerStars continues their popular low-stakes tournament series with the return of MicroMillions on November 19. MicroMillions will run for 11 days featuring 117 tournaments with modest buy-ins starting as low as $1.10. The largest buy-in is $22 for the MicroMillions Main Event, which also has a $1 million guaranteed prize pool. Overall, the MicroMillions has $3.5 million in guaranteed prize pools.

Tuesday November 17, 2020 at 8:30 pm
High Stakes Feud: Polk Back after first extended session

Doug Polk ended a two-session skid with a small win during Round 6 of his High Stakes Feud against Daniel Negreanu. KidPoker won the first round of $200/$400 NL during a live session at the Aria, before Polk won the next two online. During Round 4 and Round 5, Negreanu erased the deficit and took a slight lead. However, Polk is back ahead by +$67K after 2,374 hands completed.

Friday November 13, 2020 at 5:35 pm
2020 World Series of Poker Hybrid Main Event played at WSOP.com and GGPoker

The World Series of Poker will host a Main Event Championship with a hybrid format that starts online with two brackets (domestic at WSOP.com and international at GGPoker) and then it moves to a live casino to play out a final table (Rio in Las Vegas for US, and King's Casino in RozVegas for international), before a $1 million heads-up finale featuring the winners of each final table that will be played at the Rio Casino in Las Vegas on December 28. The heads-up winner also earns the bracelet.

Thursday November 12, 2020 at 1:55 am
Caribbean Poker Party heads online to partypoker with 10 events

The 2020 Caribbean Poker Party went virtual and the Caribbean Poker Party Online will run starting this Friday, November 13 through November 25 over at partypoker. There will be ten marquee events with over $10 million in guaranteed prize pools. The Main Event, which was won by Adrian Mateos last year, has a $5 million guarantee and a $5,300 buy-in. Satellites are running as we speak.

Wednesday November 11, 2020 at 2:08 am
High Stakes Feud: Doug Polk wins $166K in Round 3

Daniel Negreanu lost a second session in a row and now trails Doug Polk by $268,031 after three rounds of their High Stakes Feud and grudge match. The two slugged it out at WSOP.com and played two tables of $200/$400 NL. Polk banked $166,239 over 382 hands as the challenge reached 1,006. Only 24K more hands to go at $200/$400 NL. Action resumes Wednesday.

Monday November 9, 2020 at 9:21 pm
High Stakes Duel: Doug Polk wins session #2 with 218K

Doug Polk and Daniel Negreanu played their first online session of their High Stakes Duel over at WSOP.com last Friday, and Polk banked $218K over 424 hands at $200/$400 NL (two tables). Negreanu won $117K during a 200-hand live initial session, but he now trails Polk by $101K after 624 hands of their 25,000-hand heads-up duel. The two will throw down in the High Stakes Duel three times this week on GGPoker.tv on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 2:30pm PT.

Friday November 6, 2020 at 2:40 pm
WPT Montreal moved online to partypoker for January 2021

With the coronavirus pandemic continuing to fester, organizers at the World Poker Tour decided to still host their WPT Montreal event, but they migrated it online at partypoker instead of playing it out at the Playground. The new 2021 WPT Montreal Online has a $3,200 buy-in with two opening flight, with a single re-entry per flight, starting on Sunday 10 January 2021 for Day 1A and Sunday 17 January 2021 for Day 1B. This event has a $2 million guarantee prize pool. Satellites begin this weekend at partypoker for as low as a penny.

Thursday November 5, 2020 at 2:43 pm
High Stakes Duel: Negreanu leads Polk by $117K after first 200 hands

The High Stakes Duel finally got underway with Doug Polk and Daniel Negreanu playing the first 200 hands of their 25,000-hand challenge at $200/$400 NL stakes. It took about 3 hours and 40 minutes to complete 200 hands of their grudge match live at the Aria Casino in Las Vegas. After the first 200 hands, Negreanu finished up 2.2 buy-ins and he opened a $117K lead over Polk.

Wednesday November 4, 2020 at 2:56 pm
Mirage poker room in Las Vegas will close

MGM Grand made a tough decision to close the poker room at some of their Las Vegas Strip properties indefinitely. That bold decision includes the shuttering of the legendary poker room at the Mirage Casino, which at one time hosted the biggest cash games in the Vegas. In addition, the suits made a decision to shut down the Mandalay Bay and Excalibur, two low-level poker rooms that used to attract both tourists and locals alike.

Tuesday November 3, 2020 at 2:20 pm
Polk/Negreanu High Stakes Feud begins November 4

The Aria Casino in Las Vegas will host the first 200 hands of the Daniel Negreanu vs Doug Polk high-stakes challenge that will consist of 25,000 hands of $200/$400 NL. The initial first 200 hands of this event will be captured live on PokerGo and available for free for all poker fans on November 4 at 5pm PT. After that, the two jousting pros will head to WSOP.com to finish off their 25K bout. KidPoker is the underdog at 4/1 odds.

Monday October 26, 2020 at 8:59 pm
PokerStars introduces EPT Online for next month

For the first time in its history, PokerStars will host an online version of the kind of tournament they'd run somewhere along the tour in Barcelona or London like the old days of the European Poker Tour. PokerStars will launch the EPT Online on November 8 and the virtual festival will run through November 18 with 20 unique events that come along with a $20 million guaranteed prize pool. There will also be 20 additional mini-events called the Mini-EPT.

Wednesday October 21, 2020 at 6:40 pm
Sam Grizzle passes away, once beat up Phil Hellmuth

The poker world said goodbye to one of its last grizzled characters when Sam Grizzle passed away after a massive stroke this weekend. Grizzle, most known as Phil Hellmuth's nemesis, was one of those characters that flirted the line between pro and angle shooter. Grizzle won $1.3 million in tournaments, but won unknown amounts as a cash game player in Nevada.

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Thursday December 10, 2020 at 8:04 pm
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