Monday November 7, 2016 at 8:04 pm
Breaking News
HOT !

On the eve of one of the most import elections in the history of the entire universe, Hillary Clinton is still a heavy favorite to became the next President of the United States. Paddy Power lists the former First Lady and Secretary of State as a 1-5 favorite. The Democratic candidate has been leading ever since she locked up the nomination, however, her lead had shrunk over the last week with some blowback about the FBI/email scandal. Despite what Donald Trump believes, the bookies do not have much faith in him and the betting market has been hammering Clinton for months. Trump is a 4-1 underdog and some betting shops have him as high as 6-1. Nate Silver from FiveThirtyEight fame currently had Clinton at a 68.3% chance to win.

Election Eve
Clinton is a huge favorite to win the Presidency

Election Day is tomorrow in the United States of America. If you've been following my election coverage, you've heard me saying since my first column that you should bet the farm on Hillary Clinton because she's going to be the next President of the United States (and she'll make history too as the first-ever female President). Clinton's odds to win have been steadily increasing since she threw her hat in the ring. Bernie Sanders put up a spirited fight, especially in his home-state of Vermont and out West where his populist message appealed to voters on a more personal scale than Clintons. However, Hillary Clinton locked up the Democratic nomination and it's really been her race to lose ever since the GOP imploded and nominated Donald Trump.

The real estate mogul, not-so-great casino operator, but controversial reality TV star Donald Trump screwed up in almost every way possible, yet that has not shaken his core supporters on bit. They're all in on Trump because he speaks directly to them. Despite colossal campaign failures, ill-prepared debates, and numerous Twitter meltdowns, Trump is still alive but limping across the finish line. Every day it seemed as though Trump's horrendous shitshow of a campaign was under fire for something he said or something he had previously done. Meanwhile, the Teflon Hillary Clinton came under fire over the last week when the FBI email scandal swung back around to bite her in the ass during the final stretch. Clinton lost all of the momentum as Trump cut into her lead in the closing days of the 2016 Presidential Election.

Who is going to win? Will the swing states really determine the fate of America? Will the citizens of Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia sway red or blue?

I already told you Hillary Clinton is going to win, but if you do not believe me, then follow the money. I'm more interested in what the bookies have to say than Beltway insiders and Nate Silver. I'm more interested in where the betting money is going than what pools are saying. Paddy Power takes in bets from all over the world (except the U.S., ahem!) and they have Donald Trump as a 4-1 dog. If you want to bet on Clinton, she's 1-5 which means you have to lay $5 to win back $1. Both fringe party candidates – Jill Stein from the Green Party and Gary Johnson from the Libertarian side – are listed at huge dogs at 500/1. That's a total joke and you're wasting your money there.

ElectionBettingOdds.com currently listed Clinton at 82.1% to win and Trump at 17.6% to win. Both third-party candidates Jill Stein (Green Party) and Gary Johnson (Libertarian) are listed at 0.1%. They also estimate Clinton will win the Electoral College vote 323-215.

2016 U.S. President Betting Odds

  • Hillary Clinton (Democrat) 1/5
  • Donald Trump (Republican) 4/1
  • Jill Stein (Green Party) 500/1
  • Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 500/1

 

** Via PADDY POWER

In case you were wondering, political forecaster Nate Silver made a splash the last two Presidential elections when his number crunching crushed the MSM and big-time pollsters. Silver was hailed as the genius prognosticator, but the 2016 election cycle has been kicking him in the junk. Silver and his team of poli-geeks were totally off this past year with Trump's polling numbers and predictions, but he chalks it up to the fact that Trump is an unusual candidate in one of the most unusual races in the history of American politics.

At the current moment, Donald Trump is listed at only a 31.6% chance to win the Presidency. Silver currently listed Hillary Clinton at a 68.3% chance to win the election.

In addition, Silver projects Clinton wins the Electoral College approximately 297-240.

2016 U.S. President Odds

NATE SILVER FIVETHIRTYEIGHT

  • Clinton 68.3%
  • Trump 31.6%

 

ELECTIONBETTINGODDS.COM

  • Hillary Clinton 82.1%
  • Donald Trump 17.6%
  • Jill Stein 0.1%
  • Gary Johnson 0.1%

 

Latest news
Monday November 18, 2019 at 10:22 pm
James Holzhauer wins Jeopardy TOC, will play at Caribbean Poker Party

James Holzhauer, a former online poker enthusiast and sports betting pro from Las Vegas, made waves when he went on an epic run on Jeopardy! earlier in the year with a 32-game winning streak. Holzhauer recently won the annual Tournament of Champions. He will also appear at the 2019 partypoker LIVE Caribbean Poker Party in the Bahamas with a special trivia event at the Baha Mar Casino.

Friday November 15, 2019 at 10:28 pm
Sam Soverel wins 2019 Poker Masters $50K Main Event and Purple Jacket

American pro Sam Soverel dominated the 2019 Poker Masters at the Aria Casino in Las Vegas with two event victories and seven final tables during the ten-event high roller series. He won Event #7 $25,000 PLO and took down Event #10 $50,000 NL Main Event for $680,000. In total, he banked $1.4 million including the coveted Purple Jacket.

Thursday November 14, 2019 at 8:58 pm
Igor Kurganov and Liv Boeree split PokerStars, Power Up dunzo

Two more well-known pros are no longer sponsored players and members of Team PokerStars. Igor Kurganov and Liv Boeree are no longer with PokerStars as the online poker giants shifts away from traditional sponsored pros. Meanwhile, PokerStars is also pulling the plug on Power Up Poker, one of the many new formats they introduced in the last few years that was more like a video game than old school poker.

Saturday November 9, 2019 at 12:32 am
Correction: Rob Campbell wins 2019 WSOP Player of Year after clerical error

The World Series of Poker issued a statement today to recognize Australian pro Robert Campbell as the 2019 WSOP Player of the Year and not Daniel Negreanu. They incorrectly awarded 2019 WSOP POY to Daniel Negreanu at the conclusion of the WSOP Europe because of a error in their database. After an investigation, the WSOP discovered Negreanu got awarded POY points in an event he did not cash. Campbell wins the 2019 WSOP POY with Shaun Deeb finishing in second place and Negreanu finishing in third place.

Friday November 8, 2019 at 2:58 am
Daniel Negreanu edges out Campbell/Deeb to win 2019 WSOP Player of the Year

Daniel Negreanu secured the 2019 World Series of Poker Player of the Year with a strong performance at the WSOP Europe at King's Casino in RozVegas that included seven cashes and a final table. Kid Poker caught Australian pro, Robert Campbell, who went into the WSOPE as the POY leader. Negreanu, a 6-time bracelet winner, won his third Player of the Year title, but became the first player to win POY without securing a bracelet victory.

Wednesday November 6, 2019 at 8:18 pm
PokerStars goes live in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania, now the fifth largest state in America after edging out Illinois with 12.8 million residents, officially has online poker again when PokerStars PA went online during a soft launch on Monday. The official launch will be Wednesday, November 6, 2019.

Tuesday November 5, 2019 at 3:02 am
2019 WSOP Europe: ElkY wins Colossus for 2nd bracelet

The 2019 WSOP Europe concluded with the 15th and final event at the King's Casino in RozVegas. French pro Bertrand Grospellier, otherwise known as 'ElkY', won the Event #15 €550 Colossus NL for his second career bracelet. Elky faded a field of 2,738 runners to win €190,375. Shaun Deeb finished in 11th place but missed out on catching Daniel Negreanu for 2019 WSOP Player of the Year.

Monday November 4, 2019 at 8:20 pm
Geoffrey Hum wins 2019 WPT Montreal for $500,000 CAD

Nova Scotia's Geoffrey Hum outlasted 1,109 runners and an insanely difficult final table to win the 2019 WPT Montreal at the Playground Casino in Montreal. Hum defeated Colorado's Adedapo Ajayi heads-up to win $500,000 CAD. The rest of the stacked final table had over $46 million in career cashes including Joseph Choeng, Mike Watson, Kristen Bicknell, and Swedish pro Martin Jacobsen. Hum also won a seat into the season-ending TOC in Las Vegas in 2020.

Friday November 1, 2019 at 12:15 am
2019 WSOP Europe: Alexandros Kolonias wins 2019 Main Event for €1.13 million

Greece's Alexandros Kolonias outlasted a field of 541 players to win the 2019 WSOP Europe Event #14 €10,350 Main Event. Kolonias outlasted a final four that included Italian pro Dario Sammartino, American pro Anthony Zinno, and Germany's Class Segebrecht. Sammartino, the runner-up at the 2019 WSOP Main Event in Las Vegas, finished in fourth place. Anthony Zinno busted in third place. Kolonias knocked out Segebrecht to win the bracelet and €1,133,678.

Thursday October 31, 2019 at 2:01 am
Telex
WSOP Europe Main Event: Anthony Zinno leads final 6

The 2019 World Series of Poker Europe Main Event Championship is down to the final table of six players at the King's Casino in RozVegas. Anthony Zinno is the big stack with 16.8 million. Also still alive are Dario Sammartino, Rifat Palevic, Alexandros Kolonias, Anh Do, and Class Segebrecht. On Thursday, someone will win the bracelet and €1.13 million in cash. Follow WSOP for updates starting at 2pm local time in RozVegas.

Friday October 25, 2019 at 10:32 pm
2019 WSOP Europe: Chin Wei Lim wins €100K Diamond High Roller for €2.2 million

Chin Wei Lim, a high roller from Malaysia, won his first WSOP bracelet with a victory in WSOP Europe Event #12 €100,000 Diamond High Roller. Chin Wei Lim defeated Jean-Noel Thorel heads up to win the bracelet and €2,172,104. Phil Ivey went deep with an eighth-place finish. Earlier in the week, Lim took second in the €250K Super High Roller.

Wednesday October 23, 2019 at 9:55 pm
2019 WSOP Europe: Besim Hot wins €25,500 Mixed Games, denies Phil Hellmuth Bracelet #16

Besim Hot won his first bracelet with a victory in 2019 WSOP Europe Event #10 €25,500 Mixed Games Championship. Hot outlasted a difficult final table and picked off Phil Hellmuth heads-up to win €385,911. Daniel Negreanu finished in sixth place, which propelled him into the overall lead in the 2019 WSOP Player of the Year race.

Wednesday October 23, 2019 at 12:32 am
2019 WSOP Europe: Aussie pro Kahle Burns wins €25,500 Platinum High Roller

Australian pro Kahle Burns won his first bracelet with a victory in 2019 WSOP Europe Event #8 €25,500 Platinum High Roller. Burns banked a score worth €596,883 for outlasting a final table that included WSOP Main Event champ Hossein Ensan, Sam Trickett, Tim Adams, Alex Foxen, and WSOP POY Leader Robert Campbell. Burns knocked out Sam Trickett in second place and denied Trickett's decade long quest to finally win a bracelet.

Tuesday October 22, 2019 at 1:45 am
2019 WSOP Europe: Siamak Tooran, Tomas Fara, Espen Sandvik, Vangelis Kaimakamis win bracelets

Action at the 2019 WSOP Europe continued at the King's Casino in RozVegas. Espen Sandvik outlasted a mixed games final table that included Jeff Madsen and Phil Hellmuth to win WSOPE Event #5 €2,500 8-Game Mix for €75,246. Siamak Tooran outlasted a field of 111 players to win WSOP Europe Event #6 €25,500 Short Deck High Roller NL for a score worth €740,996. Tomas Fara from the Czech Republic outlasted 377 runners and won WSOPE Event #7 €1,100 Turbo Bounty Hunter NL for €59,904. Meanwhile, Greece's Vangelis Kaimakamis faded 766 players to win WSOPE Event #3 €1,350 Mini Main Event for €167,056.

Friday October 18, 2019 at 9:38 pm
2019 WSOP Europe: James Chen wins €250,000 Super High Roller

James Chen rallied back from a short stack at the final table to win the 2019 WSOP Europe Event #4 €250,000 Super High Roller at the King's Casino in RozVegas. Chen banked €2,844,215 and outlasted a final table that included Cary Katz, Tony G, Christoph Vogelsang, and Chin Wei Lim. Chen defeated Lim heads-up for the bracelet, which would be the first ever for Taiwan.

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