Election Day is tomorrow in the United States of America. If you've been following my election coverage, you've heard me saying since my first column that you should bet the farm on Hillary Clinton because she's going to be the next President of the United States (and she'll make history too as the first-ever female President). Clinton's odds to win have been steadily increasing since she threw her hat in the ring. Bernie Sanders put up a spirited fight, especially in his home-state of Vermont and out West where his populist message appealed to voters on a more personal scale than Clintons. However, Hillary Clinton locked up the Democratic nomination and it's really been her race to lose ever since the GOP imploded and nominated Donald Trump.
The real estate mogul, not-so-great casino operator, but controversial reality TV star Donald Trump screwed up in almost every way possible, yet that has not shaken his core supporters on bit. They're all in on Trump because he speaks directly to them. Despite colossal campaign failures, ill-prepared debates, and numerous Twitter meltdowns, Trump is still alive but limping across the finish line. Every day it seemed as though Trump's horrendous shitshow of a campaign was under fire for something he said or something he had previously done. Meanwhile, the Teflon Hillary Clinton came under fire over the last week when the FBI email scandal swung back around to bite her in the ass during the final stretch. Clinton lost all of the momentum as Trump cut into her lead in the closing days of the 2016 Presidential Election.
Who is going to win? Will the swing states really determine the fate of America? Will the citizens of Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia sway red or blue?
I already told you Hillary Clinton is going to win, but if you do not believe me, then follow the money. I'm more interested in what the bookies have to say than Beltway insiders and Nate Silver. I'm more interested in where the betting money is going than what pools are saying. Paddy Power takes in bets from all over the world (except the U.S., ahem!) and they have Donald Trump as a 4-1 dog. If you want to bet on Clinton, she's 1-5 which means you have to lay $5 to win back $1. Both fringe party candidates – Jill Stein from the Green Party and Gary Johnson from the Libertarian side – are listed at huge dogs at 500/1. That's a total joke and you're wasting your money there.
ElectionBettingOdds.com currently listed Clinton at 82.1% to win and Trump at 17.6% to win. Both third-party candidates Jill Stein (Green Party) and Gary Johnson (Libertarian) are listed at 0.1%. They also estimate Clinton will win the Electoral College vote 323-215.
2016 U.S. President Betting Odds
- Hillary Clinton (Democrat) 1/5
- Donald Trump (Republican) 4/1
- Jill Stein (Green Party) 500/1
- Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 500/1
** Via PADDY POWER
In case you were wondering, political forecaster Nate Silver made a splash the last two Presidential elections when his number crunching crushed the MSM and big-time pollsters. Silver was hailed as the genius prognosticator, but the 2016 election cycle has been kicking him in the junk. Silver and his team of poli-geeks were totally off this past year with Trump's polling numbers and predictions, but he chalks it up to the fact that Trump is an unusual candidate in one of the most unusual races in the history of American politics.
At the current moment, Donald Trump is listed at only a 31.6% chance to win the Presidency. Silver currently listed Hillary Clinton at a 68.3% chance to win the election.
In addition, Silver projects Clinton wins the Electoral College approximately 297-240.
2016 U.S. President Odds
NATE SILVER FIVETHIRTYEIGHT
- Clinton 68.3%
- Trump 31.6%
- Hillary Clinton 82.1%
- Donald Trump 17.6%
- Jill Stein 0.1%
- Gary Johnson 0.1%